MLB Plays Wednesday 4/2/25
- Fink
- Apr 2
- 2 min read
It's the middle of the week, and we still haven't fully recovered from the difficult day we had on Sunday. We will continue to push through and strive to find you winning picks. I mentioned to Pickles last night that baseball isn't performing as well this year compared to last year, and I want to adjust our strategy accordingly. After a brief discussion, I realized that I hesitated to make adjustments after the first weekend because we had limited data, making changes feel risky.
We need to stay the course. Although we’re currently even on wins and losses, we're only down a few units overall. Last year, we started off strong but then took a dip, which suggests we might be on the verge of a successful run soon. Yesterday, we finished with a record of 2-2, resulting in a loss of 0.57 units, which translates to an ROI of -14.32%. Today, we have just four plays again, so I'm hopeful for a profitable day ahead.
If you want to see our current ranks, please check out that post by clicking on power ranks
Here are a few important points to remember before you start playing any of the games listed below:
1. We will only place bets to risk, not to win. This means we will risk one unit to win whatever the payout is. There are numerous plays available, and risking more one unit to win a full unit can lead to quick losses.
2. We will avoid betting on lines that are at, or sometimes near, -200. Instead, we will assess teams based on the run line to determine if a good play exists.
3. The price listed is the price we found when we prepared this post. We do not shop for prices, as we are located in California and have limited options. All suggested plays will be based on this price, although your bookmaker may have slightly different odds.
4. From our experience last year, our system was particularly effective for series prices, which you will also find listed below. Please remember that the same rules from point 3 apply.
We advocate for playing listed when placing your wagers. A pitching change could affect the line and we must ensure we are using the proper information to make the best wager.
Today's Home Run Line plays (Series Price)
Astros -157
Phillies -1.5 -135
Twins -181
Mets -1.5 -125
Tracking Section
Overall Record: 16-16
Overall Units: -3.94
Overall ROI: -12.31%
Home Team Record: 10-4
Away Team Record: 6-12
Series Records
Overall Record: 0-2
Overall Units: -2.00
Overall ROI: -100%
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