#HomeRunLine // NLDS
We're back with more MBL Playoff action! Today we're taking a look at the NLDS. The Braves take on the Marlins and the Dodgers take on the Padres. It’s important to keep in mind that all games are played at neutral sites and the best of 5 series will be played on consecutive days. The Braves and Dodgers will be the home teams for games 1 & 2. Games 3 & 4 (if necessary) will have the Marlins and Padres as the home teams. Game 5 (if necessary) will go back to the Braves and Dodgers for the home team advantage.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
The Braves and Marlins played 10 games this season; with the Braves winning the series 6-4. The Atlanta offense outscored Miami 68 - 44 during the 10 games. Statistically, Atlanta outranks Miami in almost every offensive category; Runs (+85), HRs (+43), RBIs (+91), BA (+24), OPS (+129). The only offensive note for Miami was that they struck out 36 fewer times than Atlanta. On the other side of the ball, Atlanta outperformed Miami in every category; ERA (-45), Hits (-12), Earned runs (-15), HRs (-13), BB (-6), and Ks (+55). Statistically, Atlanta should walk away with the series in 3. However, we think this series is closer than the numbers show. Taking out the 29-9 game from Sept. 9th, the run totals drop to 39 – 35 Atlanta. The Miami offense is quite capable, and the pitching is solid as they swept the Cubs in the first round. Also, we have to mention that the Marlins franchise has never lost a playoff series. Even so, our money is on Atlanta to break their streak and win the series.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Padres and Dodgers played 10 games this season; with the Dodgers winning the series 6-4. During these 10 games, the Dodgers outscored the Padres 48 – 36. As for the numbers, The Dodgers offense outperformed the Padres in Hits (+17), Runs (+24), HRs (+23), RBIs (+15), and OPS (+23). The Padres slighted them BA (+1) and dominated in SB (+26). On the other side of the ball, the Dodgers pitching was better in ERA (-84), hits (-32), runs (-28), HRs (-4), and BB (-25). The pitching highlight for San Diego was strikeouts (+48). With the statistics pointing towards LA taking this series, it’s really going to come down to who’s hot. As we saw in day 1 of the ALDS, balls are flying and runs are scoring. Also, the Kershaw curse is real and can strike at any time. Nonetheless, our money is on Los Angeles to win the series.
Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us know what you think!
/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors