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Fort Erie // 29-SEP

Happy Tuesday and Happy Prince of Wales Day! We're headed north of the border for today's races at Fort Erie Race Track. Today's card includes 9 races featuring Race 2 Last Dance Stakes, Race 4 David Piques Memorial Cup Stakes and Race 8 Prince of Wales Stakes. Our #LundinLine top horses and best bets with race analysis is below. Track conditions are fast and firm and the rail is out at 10 feet. Ride with us and let's get #InTheMoney!!





Fort Erie Race Track // 29-September


R1: 5-8-7-2 R2*: 4-3 R3: 4-8-5

R4*: 1-7-4-6 R5: 1-3-2-6

R6: 3-2-6-5

R7: 3-4-6 R8*: 2-9-3-7

R9: 7-9-8-6


*Stakes



 


Lundin Line Best Bets & Stakes Notes



R2: Last Dance Stakes

[4] Dr Blarney

Since May 18th/2019 in the Rise Jim S. at Suffolk Downs, Dr Blarney has had 5 races, 4 Wins and a Show finish in his last race on Aug. 20 at Del Mar. Dr Blarney leads today’s field in this year’s Last Dance in average Speed speed (95) as well as early (91), middle (97) and finish (100) Pace Ratings. Trainer Karl Grusmark has Emile Ramsammy at the reigns as he was for Dr Blarney’s Win in this year’s Rise Jim Win on July 27th. Over the last 10 days, Ramsammy is winning at 17% with a +73% ROI. Dr Blarney starts the day off at 6/5 odds.



R4: David Piques Memorial Cup Stakes

[1] Mijo

Trainer Nick Guy Mileni hopes his 2nd race with Mijo leads to a maiden breaking win for the 3 yr. old. His last race was a 2nd place finish just 2 weeks ago in a race where he stalked early but eventually was not a match for Gold Venture. Mijo enters today’s David Piques Memorial Cup leading the filed in middle and finish Pace Ratings. Mileni over the last 30 days is winning at 23% and with Jockey Helen Marie Vanek is ITM at 54%. Mijo's Morning Line odds are 9/5.



R7: [3] Thor’s Thunder

Thor’s Thunder is coming down in class for today’s race. His first career win came on Aug. 3rd at Ft. Erie where he earned his 2nd highest Speed figure of 75. Since that win, he has had 3 races with his last race 2 weeks ago, a 5th place finish where he lacked late speed. This move down should bode well for Trainer Julie Mathes who over the last 30 days, has her horses winning at 27%, ITM at 53% with a +56% ROI. Mathes, with Helen Marie Vanek at the reigns is ITM at 66% over the past year. Morning Line for Thor's Thunder is 5/2.



R8: Prince of Wales Stakes

[2] Mighty Heart

Mighty Heart is coming off his most impressive and dominant win at this year’s Queen’s Plate on Sept. 12th. He won by 8 lengths over Belichick with Clayton finishing 3rd. Although Clayton leads the field with an average Speed of 90, Mighty Heart comes into today’s 85th running of the Prince of Wales with 2 consecutive 96 Speed figures and strong Pace Ratings. Trainer Josie Carroll will look to make in 4 Wins in a row with Jockey Daisuke Fukumoto. Over the past year, Carroll’s horses at this distance/surface are wining at 19%, ITM at 58% with a +29% ROI. Mighty Heart opens the day at 7/5 odds.








Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us know what you think!

-TSL

/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors

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