Turtle Sports MLB Power Rankings 2025 Week 18
- Fink
- Jul 21
- 3 min read
Happy Monday! It has been six weeks since we last posted anything regarding the Home Run Line, as something seemed off with our game predictions. We were losing units faster than the Rockies can lose a series. The good news is that we reduced our losses from over nine units per week during the last two weeks we posted to approximately one unit lost this past week. While we are still not seeing a positive return on investment (ROI), this improvement gives us hope that with a few adjustments, we can really dial in for the last third of the season.
We are sharing our record from the time we stopped posting plays, but keep in mind that we still tracked every play through last week to know where we stand this year. We made no adjustments after last week due to the All-Star break, which is always a tricky week. Moving forward, we will adhere to the same formula that worked well for us last year and early this season.
There have been a lot of changes in the league over the past six weeks, including multiple ten-game winning streaks by various teams. The Dodgers and Yankees have not lived up to the preseason hype, and my Mariners have lost their division lead. Looking ahead, every team will be playing for the next three days, resulting in many selections. Given our track record, you may want to choose only the games you feel confident about.
We have 12 games scheduled for each of the next three days, but the number will decrease toward the end of the week, so hopefully we won’t end up in a tough spot by midweek. I won't sugarcoat it; it’s been rough. However, being down less than 5% in ROI shows that this system can limit risk and occasionally deliver significant gains.
We appreciate your support, and whether you choose to follow our recommendations or not, we hope you find success and get In The Money!
Here are a few important points to remember before you start playing any of the games listed below:
1. We will only place bets to risk, not to win. This means we will risk one unit to win whatever the payout may be. There are numerous plays available, and risking one unit can lead to quick losses.
2. We will avoid betting on lines that are at, or sometimes near, -200. Instead, we will assess teams based on the run line to determine if a good play exists.
3. The price listed is the price we found when we prepared this post. We do not shop for prices, as we are located in California and have limited options. All suggested plays will be based on this price, although your bookmaker may have slightly different odds.
4. From our experience last year, our system was particularly effective for series prices, which you will also find listed below. Please remember that the same rules from point 3 apply.
Weekly Power Rankings
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
Miami
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
Today's Home Run Line plays (Series Price)
Guardians -137
Phillies -1.5 -115
Mets -182
Rays -1.5 -110
Cubs -154
Dodgers -169
Astros +127
Giants +111
Reds -120
Padres +123
Tigers +103
Cardinals -161
Tracking Section
Overall Record: 198-165
Overall Units: -19.35
Overall ROI: -4.85%
Home Team Record: 108-86
Away Team Record: 103-98
Series Records
Overall Record: 22-26-4
Overall Units: -12.22
Overall ROI: -25.46%
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