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NBA Playoffs // 21-AUG

Happy Friday! We made it to the weekend and we're excited for all the NBA action coming at us over the next few days. We picked out three games for you today and have our #BucketLine picks / game analysis for you below. And - in case you're extra hungry - we've got a little Pizza Play for you as well! Let's hit the court and get #InTheMoney!!


*Denver Nuggets -1.5

*Denver Nuggets / Utah Jazz Over 218.5

*Boston Celtics / Philadelphia 76ers Over 216

*Los Angeles Clippers -5


Pizza Play

*Clippers / Mavericks Over 232.5


 

Denver Nuggets -1.5, Nuggets / Utah Jazz over 218.5

1:00 PM Pacific


The NBA playoffs always seem to give us great games. The Denver Nuggets vs the Utah Jazz series is no different as they are tied 1-1 in this first round, best of seven series. Coming off a loss, the Nuggets will be looking to bounce back and are 62.5% ATS after a loss. With the real plus minus 4th ranked player in Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets will look to get back on track and repeat their game one performance. We will be following the zig-zag theory here and see the Nuggets covering the -1.5 spread! Nuggets -1.5


The books have yet to adjust to the scoring both the Nuggets and Jazz have been doing since they entered the NBA bubble. Both games thus far have gone over the total. The Jazz are an outstanding 7-3 to the over in the bubble and not to be outdone, the Nuggets come in at a perfect 10-0 to the over since entering the bubble. If you lost count that is a total of 17-3 over the total combine!!! An even more astonishing stat we found is both teams are the same to the over at 54.1% in all games this year.  With both teams ranking in top ten in offensive efficiency we will be playing the over of 218.5 in game 3 and will continue to do so until the books adjust! Nuggets / Jazz Over 218.5


 

Boston Celtics / Philadelphia 76ers Over 216

3:30 PM Pacific


The Boston Celtics have looked dominant in both games this series and boast a 2-0 lead over the banged up Philadelphia 76ers. We see this game being a shootout as the 76ers are 67.7% to the over following a loss (which held true in game two). The Celtics are 5-4-1 to the over in the bubble while the 76ers are 60% to the over since The Association restarted last month.  The Celtics, when favored, are 53.8% to the over and they are favored again for the third time in game 3. The series is 1-1 O/U, but game one saw two quarters by each team at 25 or less, and both teams shot under 34% from three in game one which leads us to believe this game was just a blip in the series. Based upon all of the above-noted stats, we will be looking to the over total of 216. Celtics / 76ers Over 216.

 

Los Angeles Clippers -5

6:00 PM Pacific


Kristaps Porzingis and Luka Doncic came out with a vengeance in game two of this series. Not only did they cover the spread, they won outright! However, this is great news for the Clippers as they are 78.3% ATS coming off a loss, 70% ATS in the bubble thus far, and 56.8% ATS the entire year. Giving the Clippers even one day rest is not good news for their opponents as they go 58.1% ATS with the same amount of rest as their opponents and 61.4% ATS with only one day of rest. The Mavericks are only 41.5% ATS after a win and 4-7 ATS since the NBA entered the bubble. We will be leaning heavily on the Clippers to cover -5 and would even consider a play up to -6. Clippers -5


 

Pizza Play Bonus

*Not official - but worth a look if you want one more*


Clippers/Mavericks over 232.5

o Clips above 51% to the over in bubble, 1 day off, as a favorite, after a loss and equal rest

o Mavs above 50% to the over in all categories this year except as Home underdog

o Mavs above 60% to the over 1 day off, in the bubble, after a win, as an underdog


*All ATS and O/U stats via Teamrankings.com




Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us what you think!

-TSL

/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors

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